关键词: 供应链, 需求预测, 库存策略, 颜色Petri网

Abstract: Because of distorted information and poor product management often lead to uncertainty and to instability phenomena. This paper considers the case of the supply chain model using Timed Colored Petri nets and analyses the impact of various continuous inventory policies and known forecasting methods followed by supply chain participants. CPN tools are used for the design of decision-making processes and simulation results are presented to highlight the main issues arising in real systems and to provide insights for future work on modeling and simulation of supply chains.

Key words: supply chain, forecasting, inventory control, colored Petri nets