Abstract: The paper studies high education and administration based on system dynamics. The factors related to high education and administration are analyzed with system thinking especially for the key factors in adult education. The models with system dynamics of high education development are established based on causal loop diagrams. Some strategies of development are put forward with analysis and simulation of model.

摘要： 本文基于系统动力学原理对高校发展战略进行了分析，并以成人高校为实例对系统进行了建模和仿真，首先用系统思考的方法对成人高校发展战略涉及的各个方面进行了分析，分析了其中的关键变量，建立了成人高校发展战略因果关系图和相应的系统动力学模型，对成人高校发展战略模型进行了仿真和校正，最后基于此进行了引导政策分析。