Abstract:

This paper intends to deeply study the evolution mechanism of the safety awareness of high-altitude parabolic and falling objects prevention, and reduce the occurrence of such safety accidents. Based on the relevant literature research conclusions and actual investigation results, the Agent-Based Modeling and Simulation（ABMS） method is used to establish a safety awareness evolution model of high-altitude parabolic and falling objects prevention. Using the Netlogo simulation platform, the attributes of each subject in the model are analyzed, and the influence of different attributes on safety awareness and the change trend of safety awareness under the combined effect of each attribute are studied. The results show that there are differences in the influence of the main attributes on the safety awareness of high-altitude parabolic and falling objects prevention. The level of knowledge and culture has the greatest influence on the degree of individual households’ safety awareness; the level of public opinion pressure has two-way influence; the level of household group cohesion is more influential than the group contact frequency; strengthening legal punishment can simultaneously improve group behavior safety level and property safety management level.

Key words: parabolic and falling objects prevention, safety awareness, evolution model, Agent-Based Modeling and Simulation（ABMS）

摘要：

为深入研究高层住户防抛物、坠物安全意识的演化机理，减少此类安全事故的发生，运用基于多主体的建模与仿真（ABMS）方法，建立高层住户防抛物、坠物安全意识演化模型；利用Netlogo仿真软件，对模型中各主体属性进行分析，研究不同属性对安全意识的影响程度以及在各属性综合作用下安全意识的变化趋势。研究结果表明：各主体属性对高层住户防抛物、坠物安全意识的影响程度存在差异。知识文化水平对住户个体安全意识程度影响最大；舆论压力水平存在双向影响；住户群体凝聚力水平较群体接触频率影响力更大；增强法律惩罚力度可以同时提高群体行为安全性水平以及物业安全管理水平。

关键词: 防抛物、坠物, 安全意识, 演化模型, 基于多主体的建模与仿真（ABMS）