Abstract: To solve the inherent shortcomings about “critical warning achieve hardly with hard threshold” of the traditional tire pressure monitoring technology from home and abroad，the concept of burst probability is proposed firstly，the shortcomings of classical set of the traditional security status parameters is overcomed.Then，a novel intellectual fuzzy monitoring model is designed.In the model，the tire pressure，the tire temperature and their change rates are considered and the tire burst probability is calculated.Simulation results prove the feasibility and efficiency of this model.

摘要： 针对国内外现有车辆轮胎安全监测技术中“硬门限临界预警难以可靠实现”的弊端，首先提出了轮胎爆裂概率的概念，克服了传统安全状态参量的论域经典集合缺陷；然后基于模糊逻辑理论提出了一种协作式双推理机智能监测模型。模型充分考虑了胎温、胎压及二者变化率对轮胎安全的影响，实现了爆裂概率的推理生成。仿真测试结果验证了模型的有效性和可靠性。