关键词: 碳减排能力, 碳税, 风险规避, 古诺竞争, 契约, 再制造闭环供应链

Abstract: In the background of uncertain market environment of low carbon product sales, a low carbon risk remanufacturing closed-loop supply chain model with double third party recyclers is constructed by using Stackelberg game theory method and the loss-averse method. The action mechanism is comprehensively analyzed and studied about influence factors of manufacturer’s low carbon emission capacity, carbon tax policy factor, retailer’s risk aversion and competition characteristics of waste low carbon product recycling market. And the change rule and implied economic significance and management concept are revealed about order quantity, transaction price, low carbon product recycling price and node earnings, expected utility and whole supply chain revenue under the circumstances of non cooperative game and coordinated operation. The contracts of the forward channel revenue sharing and reverse channel risk sharing are designed to overcome the adverse effects of risk aversion influence and double marginal influence, and the coordination of the low remanufacturing closed-loop supply chain is achieved. Finally, through numerical simulation and sensitivity analysis, the validity and practicability of the low-carbon remanufacturing closed loop supply chain model are verified. It provides the theoretical basis and policy recommendations for the cooperation between the upstream and downstream enterprises of the supply chain to carry out low-carbon emission.

Key words: carbon emission reduction capacity, carbon tax, loss-averse, Cournot competition, contract, remanufacturing closed-loop supply chain