计算机工程与应用 ›› 2007, Vol. 43 ›› Issue (2): 196-196.

• 工程与应用 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于元胞自动机的传染病传播模型研究

余雷,薛惠锋,高晓燕,李刚   

  1. 陕西省西安市西北工业大学资源与环境信息化工程研究所
  • 收稿日期:2006-05-29 修回日期:1900-01-01 出版日期:2007-01-11 发布日期:2007-01-11
  • 通讯作者: 余雷 yul525

Study On Complexity In Epidemic Spread Model

Lei Yu,,,   

  1. 陕西省西安市西北工业大学资源与环境信息化工程研究所
  • Received:2006-05-29 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2007-01-11 Published:2007-01-11
  • Contact: Lei Yu

摘要: 本文从复杂适应系统的观点,通过建立元胞自动机模型的方法模拟疾病传播这个复杂的过程.并对SARS的传播过程成功地进行了模拟。同时以此为基础对可能对传染病产生影响的几种因素作了具体的考察, 如人员的移动、及时就医等,考察这些因素对控制传染病达到稳定的具体影响,并给出一些控制这类问题的建议。

关键词: 传染病模型, 元胞自动机, 复杂适应系统, 计算机模拟

Abstract: Based on the theory of Complexity Adaptive System, we build a cellular automata model to simulate the complex process of epidemic spread. Based on this model,we simulate the spread process of SARS successively. Then several factors, such as move of people, whether being treated in time, which have great effects on the propagation of epidemic are analyzed , and whose effects on epidemic are studied. Some suggestion to deal with this kind of problem is given finally.

Key words: epidemic model, Cellular Automata, complexity adaptive system, computer simulation