计算机工程与应用 ›› 2016, Vol. 52 ›› Issue (22): 75-80.

• 理论与研发 • 上一篇    下一篇

多方案DEMATEL的偏好交互与融合方法研究

许成磊,朱跃云,段万春,孙新乐   

  1. 昆明理工大学 管理与经济学院,昆明 650093
  • 出版日期:2016-11-15 发布日期:2016-12-02

Study on preference interaction and integration of multi-scheme DEMATEL method

XU Chenglei, ZHU Yueyun, DUAN Wanchun, SUN Xinle   

  1. Faculty of Management and Economics, Kunming University of Science and Technology, Kunming 650093, China
  • Online:2016-11-15 Published:2016-12-02

摘要: 为有效应对多方案DEMATEL在实际决策情景中涌现的个体选择偏好、流程导向偏好与交互学习偏好三者交互与融合问题,针对现有单方案方法在构造直接判断矩阵过程中忽视专家整体偏好一致性的不足,解析决策过程中三类偏好交互影响的系统复杂性,创新性地从偏好表征有效性、决策过程可控性及专家交互有序效性三个维度形成偏好交互与融合策略的整体思考。相对现有研究的贡献在于:关注多方案情景的多评价对象、多决策目标和多要素集合特征,依据整体决策信息判定策略和成对要素比较信息序列转换策略,创造性提出初始判断信息的整体判断偏好一致性检验方法和多轮次非一致性决策信息调整方案。针对某一众创空间内三个创业团队开展关键影响要素识别,实例验证结果表明上述所构建的方法和策略有效可行,能够形成更具参考价值的多方案对比分析结论,对响应复杂决策情景中的多主体、多层次、多偏好决策困境具有一定参考价值。

关键词: 多方案决策试验和评价实验法(DEMATEL), 偏好交互, 偏好融合, 一致性检验

Abstract: To effectively cope with the interaction and integration problems such as individual preference, process oriented preference and interactive learning preferences in practical decision-making situations of multi-scheme DEMATEL method, in view of the existing imperfection that experts ignore overall preference consistency in the structure process of directly judgment matrix of single object method, this research analyzes the system complexity in the decision-making process of three kinds of interaction affects, from the three dimensions of preference representation effectiveness, decision-making process control and expert orderly interaction effect forming an overall preference interaction and integration strategy. According to the overall judgment information decision-making strategy and sequence pairs elements compare information transformation strategy, the contribution of this study and the main innovation lie in that, it gives the initial judgment information of whole judgment preference consistency check method and multiple rounds of consistency adjustment scheme decision-making information. By carrying out the key influence factors recognition for three entrepreneurial teams in one maker space, example verification results show that the constructed method and strategy are effective and feasible, it can form a much valuable reference conclusion for multi-scheme comparison and has certain reference value in response to the dilemma of multi-subject, level and preference in complex decision situation.

Key words: multi-scheme Decision Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory(DEMATEL), preference interaction, preference integration, consistency test