关键词: 马尔可夫链, Apriori, 三峡库区, 滑坡

Abstract: The Three Gorges Reservoir area has a frequent occurrence of landslides. The stability of landslide is influenced by land use and other factors. The relationship between stability of landslide and change type of land use is discussed by data mining techniques. The images of the change of land use in two periods are concluded by interpreting remote sense images of the study area in three different times. Strong rules between the stability of landslides and the change type of land use are mined by using Apriori algorithm. The change trend of land use is predicted by using Markov chain mode. The predict results are used for the stability analysis of landslides. Through experimental analysis, the method proposed in this paper can be used in predicting the stability trend of landslides and taking the decision-making support for the monitoring and predicting of landslide hazard.

Key words: Markov chain model, Apriori, Three Gorges Reservoir area, landslide