计算机工程与应用 ›› 2011, Vol. 47 ›› Issue (30): 58-63.

• 研究、探讨 • 上一篇    下一篇

对GM灰色模型及理论的质疑

顾乐民   

  1. 同济大学,上海 201804
  • 收稿日期:1900-01-01 修回日期:1900-01-01 出版日期:2011-10-21 发布日期:2011-10-21

To the GM grey model and theory question

GU Lemin   

  1. Tongji University,Shanghai 201804,China
  • Received:1900-01-01 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2011-10-21 Published:2011-10-21

摘要: 通过灰色模型与传统模型的数据处理比较,对灰色模型预测能力、几个数据便可建立一个动态模型之说、拟合精度、数据处理方式、适用范围及灰色建模的理论基础提出质疑。认为灰色模型不是一个优良的模型,相反,却存在许多缺陷和不足。

关键词: 灰色GM模型, 传统模型, 数据处理

Abstract: By grey model compared with the traditional model of data processing,the following questions,the ability of grey model forecasting,the dynamic model established by several data,the accuracy of grey model fitting,the way of data processing,the scope of application,the basic theory of gray system modeling,are challenged.The conclusion that grey model is not a fine model but many shortages and deficiencies are proposed.

Key words: gray GM model, traditional model, data processing