Abstract: To solve the inherent shortcomings about “critical warning achieve hardly with hard threshold” of the traditional tire pressure monitoring technology from home and abroad，the concept of burst probability is proposed firstly，the shortcomings of classical set of the traditional security status parameters is overcomed.Then，a novel intellectual fuzzy monitoring model is designed.In the model，the tire pressure，the tire temperature and their change rates are considered and the tire burst probability is calculated.Simulation results prove the feasibility and efficiency of this model.